Friday, February 09, 2007

Review and box office

I'm expecting 100's of these to pop up in the next couple of weeks. Find a quick blog review here. The review got me thinking on a couple of issues that I'll pose to the readers - audience reaction and box office revenue.
UPDATE - Thanks to regular readers David and Iggy Romero for pointing out Jeffrey Wells amazing review. March 2 can't come soon enough!

Now with the exception of Alien 3 Fincher's previous movies have all been loved by audiences. Two in particular have developed a beyond cult obsession - Se7en & Fight Club and are part of the reasons why the DVD market is so huge right now. Looking at the Rotten Tomatoes ratings for Fincher's films confirms this.
Alien 3 - 33%
Se7en - 84%
The Game - 76%
Fight Club - 81%
Panic Room - 77%
So that confirms - when Fincher makes a movie it is well received by an audience, but how big is that audience. We turn to the excellent Box Office Mojo for the figures. Please note all money is in $USD.
Alien 3 - US - $55,473,545, Int - $104,300,000, Total - $159,773,545
Se7en - US - $100,125,643, Int - $227,186,216, Total - $327,311,859
The Game - US - $48,323,648, Int - $61,100,000 , Total - $109,423,648
Fight Club - US - $37,030,102, Int - $63,823,651, Total - $100,853,753
Panic Room - US - $96,397,334, Int - $100,000,081, Total - $196,397,415
Average: US - $67,470,054, Intl - $92,507,989, Total - $178,752,044
As you can see with the exception of Se7en Fincher's films have done blockbuster money. In fact Fight Club was a flop at the time of its release and only made its budget back thanks to its stellar DVD performance. Which leads me to the purpose of this post. What are you the fans predicting Zodiac's box office to be? Now we would all want this to be a runaway success like the Spider-Man or Shrek series but I want your honest opinion. We don't know in how many theatres the movie will open we can speculate. Give me your prediction for opening weekend, US total and international total!

10 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

The movie will not be supported by the studios, it will be like 30-40 millions in the US, and about 50 worldwide.
It's a 3 hour of non spectacular action. I predict numbers like Munich.

4:19 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Despite my extremely determined need to see this twice on opening night, I kind of see it as being a sleeper hit with major audiences. I don't know much about typical (non-Fincher) box office numbers so I can't really give a confident guess, but like the comment above, I'd say it won't be anything too spectacular.
But who cares about money? We get to see a new David Fincher movie.

8:35 AM  
Anonymous Iggy Romero said...

Wells has his review up:

http://hollywood-elsewhere.com/archives/2007/02/zodiac_finally.php

The Zodiac is coming, folks...

7:21 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

i have know idea , so why am i writing here?.. just to let you know that i trust David Fincher like others trust god : he s the man , half god , half buddha ..
so the film will be good as allways : we should all go see it at least twice !
a french man a k a par_appui

3:48 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

^^^ I saw all Jake's movies more then twice so why change the tradition now :)

4:40 AM  
Blogger Nathan said...

Looks like the Aussie release date is now April 19. That sucks!

8:56 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

France is April 4th.

For European, UK is the closest, so I'll take the trip to London, personnaly, I just can't wait.

2:39 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

The Miami Herald blogger critic guy put up a brief interview with Fincher about Zodiac here:

http://miamiherald.typepad.com/reeling/2007/02/getting_away_wi.html

9:36 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I think opening weekend will be $25 million.The box office for the North American run $100 million and foreign box office $150 million.

11:14 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I foresee $10m opening, $30m US, $30m world, but DVD and tv making back the production budget with ease.

1:16 PM  

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